Elastic NV (ESTC)

Price $102.43 · +4.30% today · $10.9B market cap.

ai_software

Strongest Overalllow risk← Back

Simulated history. Equities don't yet have ingested OHLCV, so the price chart and technical indicators below are illustrative (deterministic, labelled) — not real market history.

Price & Performance

$102.43 -6.2% over 1Y

Simulated history — illustrative, not real market data.

Today

+4.30%

1 week

+8.28%

1 month

+11.70%

1 year

+17.53%

Technical Analysis

RSI (14)

50.90

MACD

0.45

MACD signal

0.54

MACD hist

-0.09

SMA 20

101.42

SMA 50

101.53

EMA 20

102.42

ATR (14)

2.58

Support

96.27

Resistance

107.52

Bollinger upper

106.43

Bollinger lower

96.40

▹ RSI 51 — neutral
▹ MACD below signal (bearish)
▹ Price above 20/50-day averages

Indicators describe past price action — they do not predict future direction.

Fundamental Analysis

P/E ratio

28.90

Return on equity

35.31%

EBITDA

n/a

EPS (TTM)

3.33

Net debt

n/a

Net margin

20.84%

Gross margin

75.50%

Current ratio

1.81

Debt / Equity

0.44

Dividend yield

n/a

Operating margin

-2.64%

Revenue growth (YoY)

16.18%

Risk Assessment

Ann. volatility

28.3%

Max drawdown

32.3%

Liquidity

Adequate market capitalization

Leverage

Debt/equity 0.4 (manageable)

Valuation

P/E 29×

Earnings

Earnings dates are not tracked in this release.

Concentration

Single-name equity — no diversification within the position.

Estimated annualized volatility 28% with a maximum drawdown of 32% over the available window.

Investment Thesis (generated summary)

Elastic NV (ESTC) screens constructively on the current data, with an opportunity score of 72/100. The score reflects the available fundamental, technical, valuation and sentiment inputs — it is a research screen, not a forecast or a recommendation to trade.

Bullish case

Strong net margin (21%)
Revenue growing 16% y/y
Moderate P/E (29×)
Positive multi-horizon momentum
Outperforming peers over the past month

Potential catalysts

Mid-Afternoon Market Update: Dow Falls 80 Points; Pure Storage Shares Surge On Upbeat Earnings
Elastic NV (NYSE:ESTC): Strong Growth Paired With a High-Quality Technical Setup
Elastic Announces Multi-Year Partnership with Audi Revolut F1® Team, Expanding Search and Observability Collaboration

Horizon: ~1–3 months for technical signals; 12+ months for fundamental quality.

Thesis invalidated if: Momentum reverses and price breaks below its 50-day average; Earnings or guidance disappoint relative to consensus; A sector-level drawdown outweighs stock-specific strength.

News Sentiment

Bullish 50%Neutral 37.5%Bearish 12.5%