Prediction Market Intelligence
What the crowd is pricing right now, ranked by volume. Each number is a calibrated probability, never a price target.
Prediction markets · 30 min
Polymarket
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
8%
Volume $21.5M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
18%
Volume $11.8M
Closes 2026-12-31
Polymarket
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
95%
Volume $8.4M
Closes 2026-12-31
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
7%
Volume $7.4M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
19%
Volume $6M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
4%
Volume $5M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
15%
Volume $3.7M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
17%
Volume $3.3M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
5%
Volume $3.3M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
15%
Volume $2.7M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
18%
Volume $2.4M
Closes 2026-12-09
Polymarket
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
13%
Volume $2.4M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
AI bubble burst in 2026?
14%
Volume $2.4M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
16%
Volume $2.3M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
7%
Volume $2.1M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
13%
Volume $2.1M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
6%
Volume $2.1M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
US recession by end of 2026?
12%
Volume $2M
Closes 2027-01-31
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
39%
Volume $1.9M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
6%
Volume $1.8M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
7%
Volume $1.8M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
10%
Volume $1.7M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
26%
Volume $1.7M
Closes 2027-01-01
Polymarket
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
14%
Volume $1.7M
Closes 2027-01-01