Prediction Market Intelligence
What the crowd is pricing right now, ranked by volume. Each number is a calibrated probability, never a price target.
Prediction markets · 30 min
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
5%
Volume $23.8M
Closes 2027-01-01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
18%
Volume $14.3M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
96%
Volume $8.8M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
4%
Volume $8.2M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
84%
Volume $7.7M
Closes 2026-10-29
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
16%
Volume $6.6M
Closes 2026-10-29
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
8%
Volume $6.5M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
3%
Volume $5.2M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
6%
Volume $4.1M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
34%
Volume $3.7M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
7%
Volume $3.1M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
3%
Volume $2.5M
Closes 2027-01-01
AI bubble burst in 2026?
6%
Volume $2.4M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
10%
Volume $2.4M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
6%
Volume $2.4M
Closes 2027-01-01
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
12%
Volume $2.3M
Closes 2027-01-01
US recession by end of 2026?
7%
Volume $2.3M
Closes 2027-01-31
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
70%
Volume $2.3M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
5%
Volume $2.2M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
8%
Volume $2.1M
Closes 2027-01-01
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?
9%
Volume $2.1M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
5%
Volume $2M
Closes 2027-01-01
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
16%
Volume $1.9M
Closes 2027-01-01
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
6%
Volume $1.8M
Closes 2027-01-01