Public Track Record
Every signal is logged to an append-only ledger with its realized outcome. We publish the hit rate, the calibration, and the misses, not just the wins. The ledger fills as live signals resolve.
Dot size = number of resolved calls behind that point (n=). A point built on 5 calls means less than one built on 50 — we show both honestly.
We surface losing calls, not just winners. This is the honesty competitors hide.
- META: -16.7% vs benchmark -0.4% over 20 sessions
- AMD: -9.8% vs benchmark +0.0% over 20 sessions
- QRVO: -4.3% vs benchmark +1.3% over 20 sessions
- SLB: -13.0% vs benchmark -0.2% over 20 sessions
- MRK: -4.8% vs benchmark -2.0% over 20 sessions
A call is logged when a stock crosses the BUY tier (Signal Score ≥ 75), recording the probability we assigned, the entry price and the S&P 500 baseline. At its ~20-session horizon we mark it a win only if it beat the benchmark, a higher bar than simply going up. Hit rate alone is misleading, so we also publish calibration error: a well-calibrated 70% call should come true ~70% of the time. Nothing on this page is a price target or financial advice.